What price will XRP hit in August?

Platform comparison

Market context

XRP is trading in a market where the main question is whether it can reach the next round-number threshold in August rather than whether it can make an outsized breakout. Your contract’s **0% crowd-implied probability** sits well below most published August forecasts, which cluster around roughly **$1.00–$1.40** rather than anything near the higher upside sometimes seen in broader 2026 outlooks.[3][6][8][19]

Historically, that gap matters because short-dated XRP forecasts have tended to anchor on nearby support and resistance, not on large structural repricings. Recent commentary has put immediate support around **$1.05** and resistance near **$1.22**, with one August view expecting the token to spend the month between **$1.00 and $1.18** and finish near **$1.10**.[3][5][7] By contrast, some forecast aggregators are far more optimistic, with one algorithmic model projecting an August average near **$1.34** and a late-August target around **$1.40**, but that is still far from the multi-dollar levels found in bullish long-range consensus pieces.[6][11][18]

For traders, the key catalysts are likely to be broader crypto risk appetite, any shift in XRP’s technical setup around the **$1.05–$1.22** band, and any schedule-dependent regulatory or ETF-related headlines that could alter sentiment quickly.[5][7] One recent market note argued that bigger moves may be deferred until September’s calendar, while another pointed to a breakout only after a **three-day close above $1.22**.[3][7] That leaves the contract heavily exposed to whether XRP can sustain a clean move through resistance before month-end, versus continuing to trade in the same range that most current price models assume.[3][6][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

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Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

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How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

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How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.