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Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Match Winner 91% Ends in Daytime 90% Volume: $519K Liquidity: $151K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner91%
Ends in Daytime90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Game 2 Winner79%
Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)79%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games21%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between OG and GamerLegion in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 3 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "OG" i…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs on Best Prediction Markets UK

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