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US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $367K Liquidity: $556K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Match O/U 23.598%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Match O/U 21.575%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Match O/U 22.575%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy51%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Game Spread +/-0.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set Handicap +/-1.525%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open, qualification atp: moise kouame vs nishesh basavareddy stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Moise Kouame and Nishesh Basavareddy in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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Related Topics

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