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US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $66K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Match O/U 21.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Game Spread +/-5.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Match O/U 22.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open, qualification atp: franco roncadelli vs elias ymer. This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Roncadelli and Elias Ymer in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
and

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets