Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| A | 50% |
| B | 50% |
| C | 50% |
| D | 50% |
| E | 50% |
| Other | 50% |
| BLG | 32% |
| HLE | 26% |
| T1 | 13% |
| GEN | 12% |
| KC | 12% |
| WE | 10% |
| DCG | 6% |
| TLAW | 5% |
| LYON | 4% |
| NIP | 4% |
| G2 | 1% |
| TES | 1% |
| DK | 1% |
| AL | 0% |
| KT | 0% |
| FLY | 0% |
| JDG | 0% |
| WBG | 0% |
| TSW | 0% |
| CFO | 0% |
| C9 | 0% |
| MKOI | 0% |
| IG | 0% |
| GAM | 0% |
| BFX | 0% |
Market context
League of Legends’ official Global Power Rankings are the reference point here, and the contract pays out on whichever team is number one when the final 2026 list is published after Worlds. The current crowd price of 26% for YES implies the market is treating the eventual top spot as competitive but not likely, which is consistent with a ranking system that can swing late in the year as Worlds results are folded in. Riot’s own rankings page shows the standings are updated throughout the season and are explicitly tied to esports results rather than reputation alone.[1][2]
Historically, the number one slot has tended to stay with one of the strongest Korean teams, but Worlds has been the main catalyst for late-year reshuffles. After Worlds 2025, Riot’s social update showed T1 at number one in the post-event rankings, while other community posts pointed to Gen.G holding or regaining the lead after MSI 2025, illustrating that the summit can change quickly when international events are weighted in.[4][5] That makes 26% look broadly in line with a market that expects one of the perennial front-runners to finish first, but not with enough certainty to price it like a near lock.
For traders, the key inputs are the remaining international schedule, Worlds seeding, and Riot’s timing on publishing the post-Worlds update. Any deep run from a top LCK or LPL side, especially one that combines domestic dominance with a strong Worlds finish, would materially improve its case for rank one, while an early exit can knock a favourite off the top once the final model is refreshed.[1][2] The main divergence to watch is between the prediction-market price, which is already discounting uncertainty, and analyst-style rankings that often lean more heavily on current form and recent tournament outcomes; those can move faster than the official year-end table.
Methodology
This page reviews League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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