Bitcoin price on June 22?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin is trading around the mid-$60,000s, but this contract settles on Binance’s 1-minute BTC/USDT close at 12:00 ET, so the relevant question is where spot sits at that single timestamp rather than where the day’s broader market finishes. The crowd-implied probability of **0% YES** is starkly lower than most public price forecasts: Binance’s own price-prediction page shows roughly **$64,985** for 22 June 2026, while Changelly’s June 2026 range puts Bitcoin above **$64,573** and YCharts lists a daily Bitcoin level around **$63,232** for the same date.[3][1][2]

That gap matters because comparable cases in Bitcoin markets often show large swings between forecast models and realised intraday prints, especially when the market is anchored by a one-tick settlement rule. Public commentary is also far from bearish: Charles Hoskinson has said Bitcoin could reach **$250,000** by the end of 2026, although that is a long-horizon view rather than a near-settlement call.[4] Against that backdrop, a 0% market price looks more like an expression of the contract’s narrow timestamp risk than a consensus that Bitcoin cannot trade at the relevant level.[4][3]

Traders should watch any macro catalysts that can move Bitcoin sharply into the U.S. lunchtime window, including Federal Reserve guidance, ETF flow data, and broader risk-asset sentiment, because the market can reprice quickly around scheduled announcements. With the settlement timestamp fixed at noon ET, even a short-lived move on Binance around that minute can decide the outcome; this makes exchange-specific liquidity and volatility more important than the day’s closing level elsewhere.[3][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.