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2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner

Live odds for "2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Karolína Muchová 30% Coco Gauff 26% Marta Kostyuk 24% Linda Nosková 22% Volume: $29.4M Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 30% 70% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 30% 70% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Karolína Muchová30%
Coco Gauff26%
Marta Kostyuk24%
Linda Nosková22%
Iga Świątek0%
Aryna Sabalenka0%
Elena Rybakina0%
Amanda Anisimova0%
Emma Raducanu0%
Mirra Andreeva0%
Madison Keys0%
Jasmine Paolini0%
Markéta Vondroušová0%
Qinwen Zheng0%
Belinda Bencic0%
Liudmila Samsonova0%
Elina Svitolina0%
Jessica Pegula0%
Victoria Mboko0%
Emma Navarro0%
Naomi Osaka0%
Barbora Krejčíková0%
Ons Jabeur0%
Ekaterina Alexandrova0%
Paula Badosa0%
Tatjana Maria0%
Maya Joint0%
Clara Tauson0%
Olga Danilović0%
McCartney Kessler0%
Solana Sierra0%
Ashlyn Krueger0%
Sonay Kartal0%
Dayana Yastremska0%
Leylah Fernandez0%
Beatriz Haddad Maia0%
Laura Siegemund0%
Elise Mertens0%
Donna Vekić0%
Xinyu Wang0%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova0%
Yulia Putintseva0%
Jelena Ostapenko0%
Maria Sakkari0%
Marie Bouzková0%
Anna Kalinskaya0%
Diana Shnaider0%
Other0%
Maja Chwalinska0%
Serena Williams0%
Iva Jovic0%
Alexandra Eala0%
Player E0%
Player F0%
Player G0%
Player H0%
Player I0%
Player J0%
Player K0%
Player L0%
Player M0%
Player N0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Player U0%
Player V0%
Player W0%
Player X0%
Player Y0%
Player Z0%

Market context

Market consensus: 30% chance of 2026 women's wimbledon winner. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it become…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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