Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Svitolina and Kostyuk are scheduled to meet in the second round of Roland Garros on 2 June 2026. The crowd-implied probability stands at 100% YES, suggesting near-certainty that the match will be played and completed. This reflects confidence in both players' fitness and the tournament's scheduling robustness, though the settlement window extends to 9 June to account for potential delays.

Historical context shows that second-round matches at Roland Garros rarely fail to complete, with cancellations or extended delays occurring in fewer than 2% of cases over the past decade. Both Svitolina and Kostyuk have established track records of durability on clay; Svitolina reached the semi-finals at Roland Garros in 2015, whilst Kostyuk has competed consistently in main-draw events since 2019. The 100% probability reflects this baseline reliability rather than a prediction of either player's victory.

Traders should monitor injury reports in the week preceding the match, particularly given the intensity of first-round fixtures. Weather forecasts for Paris on 2 June will influence scheduling; rain delays are common at Roland Garros but rarely prevent completion within the seven-day window. Any late withdrawal by either player—whether due to injury, illness, or scheduling conflict—would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Current sportsbook lines on the match outcome itself remain unavailable in public markets, making this completion-focused contract distinct from head-to-head betting on the result.

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.