Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Antonia Ruzic faces Dominika Salkova in the round of 32 at the Livesport Prague Open, a WTA event held in Prague on 20 July 2026. The match has already concluded, with Salkova defeating Ruzic 7–6, 7–6, 6–4 after a tightly contested three-set battle [4]. Despite the outcome being settled, the prediction market currently shows a 0% implied probability for Ruzic advancing, reflecting the final result where she lost and did not progress.
Historically, prediction markets that remain open after a match concludes typically resolve to the actual outcome once verification is complete, but a 0% line for the loser suggests the market has already priced in the result. Comparable cases in tennis prediction markets show that when a player loses decisively or in a straight-set fashion, implied probabilities for their advancement drop to zero immediately, whereas close three-set losses sometimes retain minor speculative value if settlement delays occur. Here, the 0% line aligns with Salkova’s clear victory, indicating no ambiguity in the result.
Traders should monitor official WTA Prague settlement announcements and any potential appeals or match reviews, though tennis matches rarely face post-match overturns. The primary catalyst is the formal confirmation of the result by the tournament organiser, which will trigger market resolution. Recent coverage confirms Salkova’s win and the match’s completion, with no indication of delay or cancellation [2][5]. With the settlement window ending 27 July 2026, the market is expected to resolve swiftly once the official record is finalised.
Methodology
This page reviews Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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