Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Xiyu Wang

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polina Kudermetova and Xiyu Wang are due to meet in Roland-Garros qualifying, with the market tied to which player advances rather than the exact scoreline. The available prices point to a narrow match rather than a one-sided affair: Tennis Tonic lists Xiyu Wang as the slight favourite at 1.71, with Kudermetova at 2.07, while FanDuel’s same-game markets also imply a live chance of a three-set contest. That sits against the current prediction-market read of 0% YES, which is far below the sportsbook consensus and suggests the contract is misaligned with the wider market view.

Head-to-head and comparable-results data lean towards caution on any short-priced conviction. Tennis Ratio says the pair have met once in professional competition, with Kudermetova leading 1-0, although that is too small a sample to carry much weight. Roland-Garros’s official site has the match listed in the third round of qualifying, which matters because qualifying schedules can shift quickly and the settlement window runs to 29 May. Traders should watch the tournament order of play, any weather-related delays in Paris, and official result feeds from Roland-Garros and live-score providers such as SofaScore or Flashscore, as a postponed or interrupted match could affect whether the contract resolves normally or falls into the market’s 50-50 fallback.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Xiyu Wang across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.