Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to san marino: juan pablo varillas vs timofey skatov. This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Timofey Skatov in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo …
Methodology
This page reviews San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →