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US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $306K Liquidity: $268K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Match O/U 21.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Game Spread +/-3.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Match O/U 23.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 2 Winner49%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Match O/U 22.549%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin32%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin. This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Cristian Garin in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'T…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
and

Trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian … on Best Prediction Markets UK

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets