🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogView on Polymarket →

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 1 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina 85% Volume: $169K Liquidity: $39K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
Open live market →
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina85%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 2 Winner61%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Match O/U 38.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 3 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Game Spread +/-5.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-2.550%
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Federico Cina in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
and

Trade US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets