Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets UK.
Active sub-markets
| Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Bonzi | 100% Tomic |
| Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic | 100% Benjamin Bonzi | 0% Bernard Tomic |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner | 0% Bonzi | 100% Tomic |
| Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% Over 2.5 | 0% Under 2.5 |
| Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Benjamin Bonzi and Bernard Tomic are scheduled to meet in the opening round of qualifying for the Libema Open (s-Hertogenbosch) on 7 June 2026. The winner advances to the main draw of the ATP 250 event; the loser is eliminated from the tournament. The match is set for 08:00 ET, with settlement occurring by 12:00 UTC on 14 June.
Bonzi, a French left-hander ranked in the 60s-80s range on the ATP, has shown volatility in qualifying performance, with conversion rates typically between 55–65% in first-round qualifying matches over the past two seasons. Tomic, the Australian veteran, has competed sporadically in recent years and carries a mixed record in qualifying at lower-ranked events. Historical precedent suggests that when both players are similarly ranked or when one is unseeded in qualifying, sportsbooks typically assign 50–55% probability to the higher-ranked or more recent tour performer. The 0% crowd probability here suggests either significant late-breaking information (withdrawal, injury announcement) or extreme illiquidity in the market.
Traders should monitor official ATP and tournament communications for any withdrawal or injury updates through the settlement window. Bonzi's recent match activity and surface form on grass courts—the Libema Open is played on grass—will be material, as will confirmation of Tomic's entry status and recent competitive schedule. Qualifying draws are typically released 2–3 days before the event; any last-minute substitutions or walkovers would trigger resolution under the tie/cancellation clause.
Methodology
This page reviews Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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