Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch | 56% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 2 Winner | 55% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 1 Winner | 52% |
| Completed Match | 51% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Match O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Match O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Match O/U 23.5 | 41% |
| Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 36% |
Market context
Market consensus: 56% chance of hamburg european open: mayar sherif vs tamara korpatsch. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mayar Sherif and Tamara Korpatsch in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market wil…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch on Best Prediction Markets UK
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