Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 84% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 | 66% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Match O/U 23.5 | 58% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Match O/U 22.5 | 39% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 Winner | 18% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang | 9% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang. This market refers to the tennis match between Julieta Pareja and Xinyu Wang in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julieta P…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang on Best Prediction Markets UK
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