Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
72% | 28% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
72% | 28% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo | 72% |
| O/U 175.5 | 57% |
| O/U 176.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| O/U 177.5 | 53% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pauline Astier: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| O/U 178.5 | 49% |
| Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.5 | 48% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 48% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 48% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 6.5 | 32% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.5 | 31% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 15.5 | 28% |
| Marine Johannès: Points O/U 8.5 | 27% |
| Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 72% probability to new york liberty vs. toronto tempo. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $76K.
Methodology
This page reviews New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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