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Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

2H Spread -1.5 61% Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 17.5 61% Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty 59% 1H Moneyline 59% Volume: $84K Liquidity: $507K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
2H Spread -1.561%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 17.561%
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty59%
1H Moneyline59%
Spread -2.554%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.554%
O/U 172.554%
2H O/U 86.554%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.554%
2H Moneyline53%
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.552%
1H Spread -1.552%
O/U 173.551%
1H O/U 86.551%
2Q Spread -0.551%
2Q O/U 43.551%
3Q Spread -0.551%
3Q O/U 43.551%
4Q O/U 43.551%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.550%
Spread -3.550%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q O/U 43.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 8.549%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 17.548%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.548%
Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.547%
Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.547%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.547%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.546%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 23.545%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 18.544%
Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 13.544%
Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.543%
Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.542%
Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 2.541%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 9.540%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.540%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.540%
Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.537%
4Q Moneyline32%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.530%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 61% probability to minnesota lynx vs. new york liberty. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 29 at 8:30PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 2H Spread -1.5 at 61% for "Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty".

2H Spread -1.5 61% Other 39%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $84K.

Methodology

This page reviews Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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Trade Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty on Best Prediction Markets UK

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Related Topics

Sports