Who will Petr Yan fight next?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Petr Yan, the former UFC bantamweight champion, requires an official UFC announcement specifying his next opponent and a scheduled fight date to settle this market. As of late 2024, Yan remains active in the 135-pound division following his loss to Sean O'Malley in March 2024, though no confirmed matchup has been publicly announced by the promotion. The resolution criteria explicitly exclude speculation, rumour, or undated announcements—only formal UFC statements with a scheduled bout qualify.

Historical precedent suggests markets on fighter matchups typically resolve within 6–12 months of opening, given the UFC's standard scheduling practices and the frequency of title contenders and ranked fighters receiving announced bouts. Yan's status as a former champion and top-five bantamweight contender means he remains a priority for matchmaking, though the timeline remains uncertain. Markets on comparable fighter-matchup questions have shown that implied probabilities shift sharply once the UFC issues official statements, often compressing odds significantly within days of announcement.

Traders should monitor UFC official channels, fighter social media, and press releases for any formal matchup announcement. The bantamweight division's current activity—including O'Malley's title defence schedule and the positioning of other contenders—will influence Yan's next opponent. Recent UFC scheduling patterns suggest announcements typically occur 4–8 weeks before fight cards, meaning traders should expect material news flow throughout 2025 if a bout is to be confirmed within the settlement window ending December 2026.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.