Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 89% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 75% |
| Map 2 Winner | 70% |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | 65% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 60% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 51% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 51% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-8.5) vs FURIA Esports (+8.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-9.5) vs FURIA Esports (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 48% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 25% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 19% |
Market context
The Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 16 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
We track Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - … on Best Prediction Markets UK
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