Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-4.5) vs FUT Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 73% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 28% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-4.5) vs FUT Esports (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Natus Vincere (+4.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: fut esports vs natus vincere (bo3) - vct emea group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between FUT Esports and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT E… on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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