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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) 100% Volume: $253K Liquidity: $687K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+8.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+9.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-11.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+11.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-10.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+10.5)75%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.552%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Genius…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
and

Trade Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas … on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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