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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $456K Liquidity: $776K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.574%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)60%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)40%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 2 Winner31%
Match Winner22%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and Sentinels in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thie…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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