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UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

Comparison of odds and platforms for "UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

Patterson to win by KO/TKO? 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 99% O/U 1.5 Rounds 52% Fight won by submission? 50% Volume: $256K Liquidity: $134K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Patterson to win by KO/TKO?100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?99%
O/U 1.5 Rounds52%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%
Fight to Go the Distance?1%
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson0%
Ponzinibbio to win by KO/TKO?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: santiago ponzinibbio vs. sam patterson (welterweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Santiago Ponzinibbio" if Santiago Ponzinibbio is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sam Patterson at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for J…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Patterson to win by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)".

Patterson to win by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $256K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patter… on Best Prediction Markets UK

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Related Topics

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