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UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% O/U 1.5 Rounds 78% O/U 2.5 Rounds 64% Ends before Round 5? 56% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $364K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds92%
O/U 1.5 Rounds78%
O/U 2.5 Rounds64%
Ends before Round 5?56%
Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley55%
Fight won by KO/TKO?50%
O/U 3.5 Rounds49%
Ends before Round 4?42%
O/U 4.5 Rounds40%
Fight won by decision?36%
Decision or Draw36%
Fight to Go the Distance?35%
Buckley to win by KO/TKO?30%
Ends before Round 3?28%
Malott to win by KO/TKO?20%
Fight won by submission?15%
Ends before Round 2?15%
Malott in Round 19%
Buckley in Round 39%
Buckley in Round 49%
Malott in Round 28%
Buckley in Round 18%
Buckley in Round 28%
Buckley in Round 58%
Malott in Round 47%
Malott in Round 36%
Malott in Round 55%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 92% probability to ufc fight night: mike malott vs. joaquin buckley (welterweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Mike Malott" if Mike Malott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 92% for "UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $132K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (We… on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports UFC Prediction Markets