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Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% RSC Anderlecht O/U 0.5 100% RSC Anderlecht 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $324K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
RSC Anderlecht O/U 0.5100%
RSC Anderlecht 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Hammarby Fotboll O/U 0.563%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Hammarby Fotboll 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Hammarby Fotboll 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
RSC Anderlecht 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
RSC Anderlecht 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 1.542%
Both Teams to Score37%
O/U 2.510%
RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.59%
Hammarby Fotboll O/U 1.58%
RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)7%
Hammarby Fotboll O/U 2.55%
RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.55%
O/U 3.52%
Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5)1%
Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5)1%
RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)1%
O/U 4.51%
O/U 5.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half1%
1st Half O/U 1.51%
1st Half O/U 2.51%
Hammarby Fotboll 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Hammarby Fotboll 1st Half O/U 1.50%
RSC Anderlecht 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, hammarby fotboll vs. rsc anderlecht - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for July 23 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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