FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

CFR Cluj meet FC Argeş Piteşti in Romania’s SuperLiga, with the contract currently priced at 0% YES despite the fixture being scheduled as a live market event. That reading is well below the tone of the football data and the bookmaker consensus. Recent preview material has CFR unbeaten in 10 home league matches at Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu, with eight wins and two draws, while Argeş have not won in three away games and have only one win in their last five visits to Cluj across the historical sample. H2H records also lean towards CFR: FootyStats shows 10 CFR wins, two Argeş wins and one draw in 13 meetings overall.

The main trader focus is whether pre-match team news or competition context can move the price off a near-zero market. FotMob’s published line-ups show CFR naming Mihai Popa, Camora, Djokovic and Luka Zahović, with Argeş starting Cătălin Straton, Vadim Raţă, Ricardo Matos and Yanis Pîrvu, which supports the view that both sides are close to expected strength. SportsGambler’s pre-match view had CFR as the stronger side on home form, while Soccersite listed a 57.30% home-win lean and 45.55% for over 2.5 goals, so there is a clear gap between analyst consensus and the 0% YES implied by this contract. The key dependency now is whether any late correction, postponement risk or settlement detail alters the market before the 17:30 UTC cutoff.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.