Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 197.5 | 94% |
| O/U 199.5 | 92% |
| O/U 201.5 | 90% |
| Suns O/U 102.5 | 88% |
| O/U 203.5 | 87% |
| Warriors O/U 94.5 | 85% |
| O/U 205.5 | 84% |
| Suns O/U 104.5 | 83% |
| O/U 207.5 | 80% |
| Warriors O/U 96.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 90.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 94.5 | 78% |
| Suns O/U 106.5 | 78% |
| O/U 209.5 | 77% |
| Spread -1.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 92.5 | 76% |
| Warriors O/U 98.5 | 74% |
| O/U 211.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 73% |
| Suns O/U 108.5 | 73% |
| Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| O/U 213.5 | 69% |
| Warriors O/U 100.5 | 68% |
| Suns O/U 110.5 | 68% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 65% |
| O/U 215.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| Warriors O/U 102.5 | 62% |
| Suns O/U 112.5 | 62% |
| O/U 217.5 | 61% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 58% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| O/U 219.5 | 56% |
| Warriors O/U 104.5 | 56% |
| Suns O/U 114.5 | 56% |
| Spread -8.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 54% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| O/U 221.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 92.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Suns 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Suns 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Suns 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Suns 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Suns 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Warriors O/U 106.5 | 49% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 223.5 | 47% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| O/U 224.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 45% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 225.5 | 43% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 39.5 | 43% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 43% |
| Spread -11.5 | 42% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Warriors O/U 108.5 | 42% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 40% |
| O/U 227.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 38% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -13.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Warriors O/U 110.5 | 36% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| O/U 229.5 | 34% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Suns O/U 120.5 | 34% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5 | 33% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 33% |
| Spread -15.5 | 32% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 32% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 31% |
| O/U 231.5 | 30% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| Warriors O/U 112.5 | 30% |
| 1H Moneyline | 29% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 28% |
| Suns O/U 122.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| O/U 233.5 | 26% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 25% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | 24% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 24% |
| Warriors O/U 114.5 | 24% |
| O/U 235.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 23% |
| Suns O/U 124.5 | 23% |
| Spread -19.5 | 22% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 22% |
| O/U 237.5 | 21% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 20% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Warriors O/U 116.5 | 19% |
| Spread -21.5 | 18% |
| O/U 239.5 | 18% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Suns O/U 126.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 16% |
| Spread -23.5 | 15% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -25.5 | 12% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -27.5 | 10% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -29.5 | 8% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Spread -12.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -31.5 | 6% |
| Spread -33.5 | 6% |
| O/U 251.5 | 6% |
| O/U 253.5 | 6% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 6% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -18.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Spread -22.5 | 2% |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of warriors vs. suns. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.
Methodology
This page reviews Warriors vs. Suns across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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