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Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 67% Both Teams to Score in Second Half 51% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 50% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 50% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $858K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.567%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Nashville SC O/U 0.548%
Atlanta United FC O/U 1.538%
Atlanta United FC O/U 2.538%
Atlanta United FC O/U 0.531%
O/U 1.528%
Nashville SC O/U 2.519%
Both Teams to Score17%
O/U 4.512%
O/U 2.510%
Nashville SC O/U 1.510%
Nashville SC (-1.5)7%
O/U 3.57%
Atlanta United FC (-1.5)4%
Nashville SC (-2.5)2%
Atlanta United FC (-2.5)1%
1st Half O/U 2.51%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 1.51%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, nashville sc vs. atlanta united fc - more markets stands at 67% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 17 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports