Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Atlanta United FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Columbus Crew will face Atlanta United FC in an MLS regular-season match on 24 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 ET. The prediction market currently reflects 100% implied probability for "more markets" to be offered on this fixture, suggesting near-certainty that additional betting options will become available beyond the standard match-outcome contracts.
The 100% reading warrants scrutiny against historical precedent. Major MLS fixtures routinely attract supplementary markets—goal-scorer props, corner totals, card counts—across regulated sportsbooks and prediction platforms, particularly when both clubs carry playoff relevance. Columbus and Atlanta have featured prominently in MLS playoff contention cycles, making their matchups attractive to oddsmakers. However, 100% certainty in any binary outcome is rare outside near-deterministic events; even well-resourced fixtures occasionally see limited market depth if injury news, weather, or scheduling conflicts emerge late. Comparable May-date MLS contests have historically seen 3–5 ancillary markets deployed by settlement date, though availability varies by jurisdiction and operator appetite.
Traders should monitor team news releases and sportsbook announcements in the week preceding the fixture. Significant injuries to key players, managerial changes, or fixture postponements could alter operator willingness to extend market offerings. MLS official communications regarding broadcast arrangements and venue confirmation typically arrive 7–10 days before match day. Current sportsbook lines on the match outcome and total goals will indicate operator confidence in the fixture's stability; any sudden withdrawal or narrowing of standard markets might signal hesitation about supplementary products.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $206K.
Methodology
We track Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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