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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals 94% Spread -1.5 83% Volume: $415K Liquidity: $123K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals94%
Spread -1.583%
Spread -2.570%
O/U 6.560%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 4.550%
O/U 8.550%
O/U 9.550%
O/U 12.550%
O/U 7.549%
O/U 11.549%
O/U 5.538%
Spread -3.538%
O/U 10.55%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

The Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 1 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This m…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $415K.

Methodology

This page reviews Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

Sports