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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

How the prediction-market book is pricing "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

NRFI 100% O/U 8.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $157K Liquidity: $84K Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 8.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5100%
New York Mets O/U 1.5100%
New York Mets O/U 2.5100%
New York Mets O/U 3.5100%
Washington Nationals O/U 1.5100%
Washington Nationals O/U 2.5100%
Washington Nationals O/U 3.5100%
Washington Nationals O/U 4.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
O/U 9.575%
Extra Innings50%
New York Mets O/U 4.550%
New York Mets O/U 5.550%
Washington Nationals O/U 5.550%
O/U 10.550%
Spread -2.549%
Spread -2.549%
Spread -1.544%
Spread -1.532%
O/U 12.531%
O/U 11.526%
O/U 13.524%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals22%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of new york mets vs. washington nationals. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 27 at 3:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York M…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $157K.

Methodology

This page reviews New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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Trade New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports