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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Five-platform snapshot of "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 87% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 74% 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 68% Volume: $293K Liquidity: $509K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.587%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.574%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.568%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.563%
O/U 7.561%
O/U 8.554%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
Extra Innings50%
NRFI45%
Spread -1.545%
O/U 9.543%
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves38%
Spread -2.534%
Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.520%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 87% YES probability for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 12 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This marke…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 87% for "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 87% Other 13%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $293K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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Trade New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports