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Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% O/U 7.5 65% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 59% Volume: $291K Liquidity: $297K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
O/U 7.565%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.559%
O/U 8.555%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
O/U 11.550%
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles45%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.543%
Extra Innings41%
O/U 9.539%
Spread -1.532%
O/U 10.531%
Spread -1.528%
NRFI0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, kansas city royals vs. baltimore orioles stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for July 12 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas C…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 100% for "Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $291K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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