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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Five-platform snapshot of "Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 69% Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels 60% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 60% Volume: $159K Liquidity: $174K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.569%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels60%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.560%
O/U 6.557%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.554%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.552%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.547%
Spread -1.545%
O/U 7.544%
O/U 8.536%
Spread -2.532%
O/U 9.525%
Spread -1.522%
Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings4%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, houston astros vs. los angeles angels stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for July 28 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $159K.

Methodology

We track Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports