Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| NRFI | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Extra Innings | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| O/U 8.5 | 47% |
| O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants | 31% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of colorado rockies vs. san francisco giants. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 9 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado R…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $919K.
Methodology
We track Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants on Best Prediction Markets UK
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