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Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Live odds for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 62% O/U 7.5 55% Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays 49% Volume: $245K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.562%
O/U 7.555%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays49%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.549%
NRFI47%
O/U 8.546%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.537%
Spread -1.536%
Spread -1.535%
O/U 9.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.529%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.527%
Spread -2.525%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.524%
Extra Innings11%

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of cleveland guardians vs. tampa bay rays. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 25 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 75% for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $245K.

Methodology

This page reviews Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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