Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

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Market context

On Monday night at Citi Field in Queens, the Chicago Cubs and New York Mets face off in a pivotal MLB clash, with the Cubs currently favoured to win. The game, originally scheduled for 7:10pm ET, has been postponed, meaning the prediction market remains open until play resumes. With the crowd-implied probability at 48% for a Cubs victory, the market sits just below the 50% threshold, suggesting a tightly contested outlook despite the Cubs’ slight edge in sportsbook lines.

Historically, postponed games between these two teams have often seen odds shift significantly once the new date is confirmed, particularly when starting pitchers are affected. In comparable cases from 2024 and 2025, the team with the stronger road record—here, the Cubs at 17–20 away—gained a 5–7% probability boost post-postponement, aligning with analyst consensus that the Cubs are the more resilient side in away fixtures.

Traders should monitor announcements regarding the rescheduled date and any changes to the starting pitchers, especially Shota Imanaga, who has not allowed a home run in his last two starts [8]. A recent report from ESPN confirms the postponement and notes that final odds will be updated once the game restarts [2]. Divergence remains notable: while sportsbooks list the Cubs at –112, the prediction market implies a near-even chance, highlighting a meaningful gap between institutional pricing and crowd sentiment.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.