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Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers

Live odds for "Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 52% O/U 7.5 50% Spread -1.5 46% Volume: $388K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.568%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.552%
O/U 7.550%
Spread -1.546%
NRFI42%
O/U 8.541%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.539%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.538%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers36%
Spread -2.533%
O/U 9.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.529%
Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.519%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.517%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.516%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

The Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 68% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 29 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 68% for "Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% Other 32%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $388K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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