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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 72% 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 60% 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 56% Volume: $414K Liquidity: $132K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.572%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.560%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.556%
O/U 7.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
Extra Innings50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.549%
Spread -1.546%
O/U 8.542%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.540%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres35%
O/U 9.534%
Spread -1.524%
NRFI0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to arizona diamondbacks vs. san diego padres. In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for July 9 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 75% for "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres".

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $414K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports