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LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $282K Liquidity: $463K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon91%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Any Player Quadra Kill90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: FLK (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: ub alma mater vs falke esports (bo3) - les regular season stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between UB Alma Mater and FALKE Esports in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 22 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regu… on Best Prediction Markets UK

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