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LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 100% Match Winner 97% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner97%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs MIBR.LOS (+1.5)84%
Game 2 Winner83%
First Blood in Game 2?75%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?73%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?41%
O/U 2.5 Games17%
First Blood in Game 1?1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between JD Gaming and MIBR.LOS in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 16 at 9:50AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD …

Methodology

We track LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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