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LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 90% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 90% Volume: $364K Liquidity: $913K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?8%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: disguised vs team liquid (bo3) - lcs regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Disguised and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 15 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Disgu…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
and

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