Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5) | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Dplus KIA and T1 contest the upper bracket final of the League of Legends Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs on 25 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-five match begins at 3:00 AM ET, determining which organisation faces the lower bracket winner. Current prediction-market pricing implies a 56 per cent probability for Dplus KIA, suggesting near-parity with T1 despite the latter's historical dominance in Korean League of Legends competition.
T1 have won four World Championships and remain the region's most decorated franchise, though Dplus KIA claimed the 2022 World title and finished runners-up in 2023. Head-to-head records across 2024 and early 2025 show competitive matchups, with neither team establishing decisive superiority in regular season play. The 56-44 split reflects uncertainty around form trajectories entering playoffs rather than structural underdog status for Dplus KIA. Comparable upper bracket finals in regional qualifiers typically favour established rosters, yet meta shifts and roster changes can rapidly alter competitive balance.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and scrim results in the week preceding the match, though public information remains limited. Recent LCK standings and playoff seeding confirm both teams earned top-four finishes, validating their presence in this fixture. Injury reports or last-minute substitutions would materially shift probabilities. The settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC on 25 May, allowing minimal post-match trading window given the early scheduled start time.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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