Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Kashiwa Reysol will face JEF United Ichihara Chiba on 23 May 2026 in a J1 League fixture. The match forms part of the J1 100 Year Vision League campaign and kicks off at 5:00 AM ET. This prediction market is tracking whether additional betting markets will become available for the fixture—a secondary-market indicator of sportsbook interest and liquidity depth rather than a direct outcome bet on the match itself.
The 83% implied probability reflects strong confidence that supplementary markets will materialise. Historical precedent suggests J1 League fixtures between established clubs routinely attract expanded market offerings from major Asian and European operators. Kashiwa Reysol and JEF United are both mid-to-upper-tier J1 sides with consistent media coverage; comparable fixtures in the 2024–25 season saw secondary markets (Asian handicap, total goals, player props) deployed within 48 hours of kickoff. The timing—a weekend fixture in late May—aligns with peak liquidity windows when sportsbooks typically expand their offerings.
Traders should monitor official J1 League scheduling confirmations and any fixture postponements, which would delay or eliminate secondary-market deployment. Sportsbook announcements from major operators (DraftKings, FanDuel, Sky Bet, and Asian platforms) typically arrive 7–10 days before kickoff. Current divergence between the 83% prediction-market probability and standard sportsbook pre-game lines remains modest, suggesting consensus that additional markets are highly probable. Injury announcements or late team news could theoretically suppress market expansion if either side faces significant squad disruptions.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →