Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to itf gandia: javier barranco cosano vs reda bennani. This market refers to the tennis match between Javier Barranco Cosano and Reda Bennani in the ITF Men Gandia, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Javier …
Methodology
We track ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani on Best Prediction Markets UK
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