Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Katarina Zavatska and Lucia Bronzetti are due to meet in Roland Garros qualifying, with the market effectively pricing the tie as a coin flip at 50% for either player. That sits close to the broader betting picture: FanDuel’s derivative match and set markets show no strong separation between the pair, with even-money style pricing on early set scores and only modest leanings in related same-match bets. The head-to-head record is split 1-1, and the last meeting went to Zavatska, which helps explain why there is no clear consensus edge despite Bronzetti generally carrying the more established tour profile.
For traders, the main catalyst is simply whether the match is completed within the settlement window and which player progresses, rather than any deep statistical spread. Live score pages from TennisLive, Sofascore and Flashscore all list the contest as a qualifying match scheduled for 22 May, so timing and any court-order changes matter more than a large pre-match narrative. If play is delayed, interrupted or abandoned, the contract’s tie outcome remains relevant; if it is completed, the market should resolve on the winner. Recent coverage from TennisTonic also underlines that the H2H is level on clay, which supports the current lack of separation in both prediction-market and sportsbook pricing.
Methodology
This page reviews Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzetti across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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