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Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $549K Liquidity: $555K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Team Vitality (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Team Vitality (+5.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-6.5) vs Team Vitality (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-7.5) vs Team Vitality (+7.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-8.5) vs Team Vitality (+8.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)1%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-6.5) vs Team Vitality (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)0%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)0%

Market context

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 3 match between Team Vitality and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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