Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map Handicap: PCFIC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: pcific esports vs team vitality (bo3) - vct emea group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Pcific Esports and Team Vitality in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will reso…
Methodology
We track Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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