Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Match Winner | 86% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-8.5) vs Sentinels (+8.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-8.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+8.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-8.5) vs Sentinels (+8.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between KRÜ Esports and Sentinels in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 8 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esp…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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